The RUSSIA-UKRAIN War started because Ukraine & western countries (especially NATO GROUP) continuously ignoring Russia’s concern to not expand NATO towards eastern boarder of Russia as security concern.
Why Russia don’t want to Ukraine to join NATO or incline towards west?
1-Before disintegration Ukraine was part of USSR led by Russia.
2- Eastern part of Ukraine – Russian ethnic population live & both Russian & Ukrainian are very mix ethnically.
3- Security concern towards west (NATO-expansion to east).
4- Ukraine applied to integrate with NATO membership Action Plan in 2008.
IS USA is major beneficiary of War?
As Russian president Vladimir Putin want to revive Old Russian glory ,west especially USA is in concern .As Russia attack on Ukraine western country especially USA putting numbers of sanctions on Russia removed Russian banks from SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication )system , Suspended Russia from UNHRC etc. to isolate Russia.
USSR Before Disintegration
How USA Reaping benefit from the War?
1-USA as major weapon exporter – According to SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute) Report 2022 – global military expenditure increase 2.1 trillion dollar. European countries Military spending sharply increase as Russian threat.
2- Removal from Russian Banks from SWIFT system (dominated by Dollar) – majorly impact Russian international trade.
3- As European countries nearly 40% depend upon Russian Gas &Oil. Due to war western European countries reducing their dependency on Russia. As USA is 2nd largest exporter of Natural gas globally & largest oil producer -now increase it export.
4- USA earning Good will by supporting Ukraine via military equipment, financially, etc. 5- Indirectly threating to china.
Implication on World?
1-Decline oil & Natural gas in international market as Russia- Iran Venezuela are in USA sanction. Led increase Inflation in both International & Domestic markets.
2-Russia-Ukrain together Export more than 25% Wheat. As War may led Food crisis globally. (Its good opportunity for India to export Wheat & earn goodwill)
3- Arm race Increase globally.
What should Ukraine do now?
Ukraine can follow policy of NONALIGNMENT. Urge UN for Shuttle Diplomacy.
~ANKIT DILIP GUPTA from Ojaank IAS Academy (Conceptor EMI Batch)